Hurricane Ike: Next Stop Texas!
On Monday the track for hurricane Ike was close to the Texas-Mexico border. That was then, but this is what we have now. A high pressure area to the north is moving away and opening up a window of dis-opportunity for those in the upper Texas coast. What was a lower Texas event is now a mid-Texas coast event and we could still get further movement to the East before Saturday landfall.
Ike has devastated Cuba leaving behind dozens of people dead and billions in damages.
There are no factors in place over the gulf that will inhibit the redevelopment of Ike to a major hurricane. Warm water and lack of shear will allow the storm to regenerate to at least Category 3 strength before it makes landfall. This is one of several unusual aspects of Ike. We could even be looking at a category 4. :-(
According to Expert Meteorologist John Kocet, it is rare for a major hurricane to weaken considerably while moving across land and then redevelop over water to an even stronger storm than before landfall. Kocet adds that Ike has taken an unusual track since forming in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Very unusual to say the least. "The southwesterly movement of Ike across the Caribbean and Cuba is rare in mid-September," said Kocet. "From this point on as far as a comparison to Ike's current position, there have been dozens of storms at this time of year that have moved from western Cuba through the Gulf."
Houston's Eric Berger wrote, "At this time most of the dynamic models are in pretty good agreement about a landfall somewhere between Corpus Christi and Palacios, however the potential error here is still as high as 150 to 200 miles. The models can and probably will continue to change."
Berger went on to write, "Three years ago I worked with public officials to characterize the realistic, worst-case scenario for Houston. Here's a snippet from the story: 'Houston's perfect storm would feed on late summer's warm waters as it barreled northward across the Gulf of Mexico, slamming into the coast near Freeport. A landfall here would allow its powerful upper-right quadrant, where the waves move in the same direction as the storm, to overflow Galveston Bay. Within an hour or two, a storm surge, topping out at 20 feet or more, would flood the homes of 600,000 people in Harris County."
The bottom line is that we're not only going to get a TON of rain since we're on the wet-n-wild side, but we could be in the worst of all situations if Ike slides 25-50 miles further East. Don't even think that or go there! :-(
Related Tags: new orleans, category 4, hurricane ike, category 3, texas-mexico border, eric berger, galveston bay, palacios, hurricane ike next stop texas!
As a spiritual-futurist, I interpret current events in light of possible macro-universal forces at play leading up to 2012, but not limited to it.
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