Gambling, Simple NFL Systems - #40: Favourites of >= 14 Pts coming off a big win ATS
- Date: 2008-04-17 - Word Count: 284
Share This!
For those of you who like to bet on the perennial Super-Bowl contenders: here is a fairly straight-forward NFL betting system that involves favourites of at least 14 points that has been 20-0 ATS over the past 14 seasons and 3-0 ATS last year alone.
Spreads of at least 2 TD's are actually not as common as you might think: Since 1994, there have only been 93 games involving a line of 14+ points and favourites have produced a rather mundane record of 46-47 ATS during this time period.
Thanks in part to the early dominance of New England last season, 2007 saw the highest number of 2-touchdown spreads in the past 15 years: a total of 13 games had a line of at least 14 points. After getting burned in the first half of the season, lines makers caught up with the Patriots and at seasons end, big favs were only 6-7 against the number.
Now, before I go any further, it's important to mention that trends or systems involving a smaller number of games, such as this one, tend to be less reliable in predicting future outcomes than a trend that involves say, 100-200 games.
Additionally, systems that typically play on only a portion of teams in the league (in this case, only 34.4% of teams have been involved at one time or another) are also more susceptible to a down-turn in fortunes.
Have said this, a small system such as this one that involves a limited number of related conditions can be a useful tool in handicapping a game where more substantial trends or other significant betting information is lacking. In other words: I don't recommend making a selection based solely
Spreads of at least 2 TD's are actually not as common as you might think: Since 1994, there have only been 93 games involving a line of 14+ points and favourites have produced a rather mundane record of 46-47 ATS during this time period.
Thanks in part to the early dominance of New England last season, 2007 saw the highest number of 2-touchdown spreads in the past 15 years: a total of 13 games had a line of at least 14 points. After getting burned in the first half of the season, lines makers caught up with the Patriots and at seasons end, big favs were only 6-7 against the number.
Now, before I go any further, it's important to mention that trends or systems involving a smaller number of games, such as this one, tend to be less reliable in predicting future outcomes than a trend that involves say, 100-200 games.
Additionally, systems that typically play on only a portion of teams in the league (in this case, only 34.4% of teams have been involved at one time or another) are also more susceptible to a down-turn in fortunes.
Have said this, a small system such as this one that involves a limited number of related conditions can be a useful tool in handicapping a game where more substantial trends or other significant betting information is lacking. In other words: I don't recommend making a selection based solely
Related Tags: trends, handicapping, vegas line, nfl point spread, team ratings, nfl betting systems, wagering advice, pro-football stats, betting articles
Your Article Search Directory : Find in Articles
Recent articles in this category:
- Canadiens Early Season Struggles
Inconsistency has reared its ugly head once again. After a shutout loss to the lowly New Jersey Devi - Mens Magazine in the Toronto Market
Magazines are wonderful things. They are able to explore their particular area of interest in more d - They Won the Lottery But Then Lost it All
We all dream about winning the lottery and every time we watch those balls spin we think about what - Manchester City Imploding
Life changed for Manchester City fans the minute their club was taken over by the ultra wealthy Oil - Different Types of Sports Water Bottle
If you are an athlete and there is a competition the next day, there are a lot of things to prepare. - Poker Supplies a Person Needs to Play
There are a lot of people all over the world that enjoy playing poker on a regular basis. There are - Data on NCAA Football 11 (XBox)
EA Sports has always been the pinnacle for sports video games. The Madden franchise for NFL football - World Golf Amateur Team Championship 2012
Golf is said to be the game of nobles. Over a period of time, the game has developed into a craze fo - Will "The Decision" Yield the Result? Lakers, Heat Seen as Likely Finalists
By far the biggest moment in the NBA offseason was the hour-long ESPN special in which LeBron James - The Evolution of the Game: Table Tennis
Table tennis was probably derived from the game "Royal Tennis," a popular diversion during medieval
Most viewed articles in this category:
- Rainbow, Brown And Brook Trout
Maine fishing has Rainbow, Brown, and Brook trout. Trout are an important part of fishing tradition. - Gymnastics Floor Music
Over the last decade or two, gymnastics as a sport has undergone considerable changes in the way it - Texas Holdem Blinds - Understanding Blinds In Texas Hold'em Poker
Posting blinds is a very important aspect of the betting structure of Texas Hold'em poker. It keeps - Indoor Mobility Scooters
Mobility scooters exclusively provide assistance to physically disabled people, who don't necessaril - Texas Holdem Tournament - Learn How To Run A Texas Hold'em Tournament
Texas Hold'em is a popular game, so next time you consider hosting a social function at your house w - The Nfl Channel And The Controversy Surrounding It
If you watch TV, and especially if you are a loyal spectator of the NFL Channel, you might have hear - Texas Holdem - How To Become Better At Texas Hold'em Poker
If you know the rules, if you know the game, if you know the odds, chances are you'll do well at pok - Essential Boxing Equipment For Every Boxer
When you are training to become a boxer there are a few very important pieces of boxing equipment th - Some Advice On How To Stay Motivated To Run
Staying Motivated to Run Do you have a hard time staying motivated to run? There are a lot of thing - NCAA: Three Good Coaches
There are coaches in each and every type of sport out there, and many of them are good at what they